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The Outlook for Precious Metals Prices in 2018: An Overview

September 20 2017

We were again disappointed. Last week, investors did not hear what they were hoping for from Mario Draghi, the ECB chief, that is, when, how and at what rate the central bank will gradually put an end to its policy of quantitative easing. “Come back in October, and then you will find out”, was Draghi´s message to a gathering of reporters and to millions of investors and traders around the world who were glued to their screens.

 

Although in this case the old maxim “better late than

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Edin Mujagić

Will September Determine the Monetary Course of the Fed and the ECB?

August 23 2017

Let us be blunt for a moment: interest rate hikes by central banks, especially the Fed, are generally bad news for precious metals. Or better said: a greater number of rate hikes than the market currently expects, mean bad news for precious metals prices. Whoever bases his or her expectations on what the Fed casually promises between lines, is assuming that the central bank based in New York will raise the official rate once more this year and another three times in the course of next year.

If

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Edin Mujagić

Quantitative Easing in Reverse

August 9 2017

That the Federal Reserve would leave interest rates unchanged, was something even elementary school students could have expected. Yet the big question was: when will the central bank begin selling all those US Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities (about $4 trillion) which were purchased in the... »

Edin Mujagić

Is Draghi Playing a Shrewd Game with the EUR/USD Rate?

August 2 2017

No, it did not surprise me that Mario Draghi, President of the European Central Bank (ECB) sounded rather hawkish at the important annual ECB meeting in Sintra (Portugal). His speech could be best interpreted as a clear signal that monetary policy in the Eurozone will soon be less expansionary.

That did not surprise me. Not because of Draghi´s eagerness to tighten monetary policy, but because I can very well imagine that more and more of his colleagues who are part of ECB board are beginning to speak up. It is a public secret that several board members have never been big proponents of the zero-interest rate policy and quantitative easing. Many others did defend these policies, because the economy was barely growing, a recession threat was looming, as well as a secular deflation threat

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Edin Mujagić

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